This week’s wisdom seems very obvious but needs to be said… It can’t be that hard to leave the pub, and get home without beating someone to death. I have done it three or four times a week for well over ten years. Why do young men keep bashing other young men to death for no reason? We are all people. We all have the same goal and that is to go to the pub, try ya luck, then get home safely and not die of alcohol poisoning the next morning. Why do some of us need to show some male dominance and crush poor boy’s heads against the concrete pavement? All those idiots doing 10 -15 years down the river will tell you that it was not worth one second of testosterone fueled glory, when you are looking out a one foot x one foot window for 15 years. It simply can’t be that hard to get home without bashing people. How can this continue to happen? We often wonder what it must be like living in certain other places and having a 50/50 chance of being beheaded, or killed by a suicide bomber each and every day. In Australia we are creating a new kind of terrorist… the coward bomber. The wanker who needs to wreck the lives of hundreds of people known to both him and to others, for no reason at all. If someone calls you a dickhead, then just take it. They are words and they surely don’t hurt as much as a blow to the head from behind and a whack on the pavement.
Come on fellas, and I say fellas because it is a 100% male issue, we are a team. We take on the bookies as a team, we sing and act like morons at he pub as a team and we should leave the pub (unless you have left earlier for some reason be it female related or not) as a united team. There can’t be a justifiable reason to punch someone so hard that they die. It can’t be justified.
We have two big days at Moonee Valley. Here goes… an attempt on every race for the two days.
2. Fast ‘N’ Rocking. Just back this horse a win and you should be off to a flyer.
The top weight is odds on and will probably win. Either just watch on, or have a small each way or place bet on 8. Melaleula and 3. Spinderbella. Both look a little over the odds and are in reasonable form.
The all greys race! I back all of these horses all year and now they are in one bloody race. 7. Slate on Edge has weight relief and 3. Black Jet has good QLD form. But other than that, I have no idea!
3. More Radiant. This filly will be flying home and she will win a race sooner or later. Her main danger will be in front, but she can definitely make up the ground.
A horrible race over 955m. Maybe each way 5. Fab Fevola because he will be in front or 10. Tintagel Rocker because he is 50-1 and anything can happen in these scampers. He should be 10-1. Not sure if the 8. Cult of Isis is very appropriately named!
12. Arctic Song to win and 10. Leveraction and 11. Riviera Riches each way. All are in form and on the quick back up.
The Manikato Stakes and yep, for the absolute last time ever… 2. Lankan Rupee. He is not $1.50 now but rather $4 and if he is the best sprinter in the world then he should win. I will be backing him (insanity I tell ya!) while having a saver on my old mate 1. Buffering. The favourite Terravista is a risk. He has never ran in Victoria, at WFA, at night or against a field of this quality.
Two at good odds are 2. Commanding Time and 9. Kim Command. But 6. Pheidon looks close to a good thing. He is a winner this track and trip and has buckets of class on this field.
The three specials for Friday would have to be 1.2 Fast ‘N’ Rocking, 6.12. Arctic Song and 8.6. Pheidon.
This race is a mystery. Lots of un-raced horses that have not trialled either. The tip is 7. Hot Snippety. He is a winner in QLD and you always get a few extra points of value with horses trained in the sunshine state.
10. Miss Steele. Each way. She loves the Valley and is down in the weights.
1. Lumosty will probably win. Perhaps 8. Kansas Sunflower for those who don’t like odds on pops.
6. Greco to win. He has had one start this time in for a great win and he looks a progressive type. 5. Nicoscene each way at the $15 also looks pretty good. 2. Law is going well but is a bit of a non-winner. Greco a win, small win bet on Law and each way bet on the 5.
Really keen on 1. Precedence and 7. Opinion. Not sure which one will win, but pretty confident it will be one of them. Not the best edition of this race of all-time.
Righto… 1. Speediness and 5. Trust in a Gust can both get stuffed. I have been backing Speediness for years for very little return and have never backed the other one and it wins every week! They will probably dead heat for first, but they can do it without A Turf Fascination. Instead I will most likely waste some hard earned on 3. Akavoroun, 6. Hooked and 9. Liberty’s Choice. They are all at well and truly each way value.
13. Go Indy Go on top and 5. Bondeiger and 6. Duccio second and third picks. Go Indy Go will be flying home and should be in the Cox Plate.
Race 8. The Cox Plate
You can’t back them all! I have therefore narrowed it down to six, and will be backing three. The six are 2. Fawkner, 8. Criterion, 9. Silent Achiever, 10. Royal Descent, 12. Almalad and 14. Wandjina. With a heavy heart I will be risking Fawkner, Silent Achiever and Royal Descent, but they will be in the multiples and the quaddie. So here is what to do…
Have $6 a win on Criterion for a $48 return
Have $1 each way on Almalad for a $43 return for a win and a $9 return for a place
Have $1 each way on Wandjina for a $36 return for a win and an $8 return for a place.
For the last five years it has only been three and four-year-olds that have won this race. Above we have two three-year-olds and the only four-year-old (Adelaide is a four-year-old but really only a three-year-old by southern hemisphere standards). Back all three as they are all at super odds. If you only want to back one, make it Almalad.
This race will be a bit of an anticlimax after the Cox Plate. If you have a heap of cash, save it for Derby Day and have just a tiny bit on 4. Suavito and 8. Scratchy Bottom.
Good luck and stay tuned.