Burnout

Hello everyone

Wisdom

Stop the presses! Fast & Furious 6 is available to rent as we speak. Yep, you heard it here first; Fast & Furious 6. That means there was a Fast &Furious 1, a Fast & Furious 2, a Fast & Furious 3, a Fast & Furious 4, a Fast & Furious 5 and now a Fast & Furious 6. How Fast and Furious can one bald muppet be? Further more… does it say something about society in that one movie can be made six different times and this movie to the best of my knowledge, is about a crook doing burnouts! Surely watching Bruce Willis beat Russians to death with his bare hand in the name of the laws is better than seeing dickheads drive fast cars. It still is troubling me? Can someone please write in? How can they possibly fill six full length feature movies with c grade actors, cars and hardly any drugs or rogue CIA agents or any of the good stuff? But then again capitalism is a wonderful tool. The producers have tapped in to a huge group of people who like watching burnouts and as such they can make millions. Once and still currently, film was about art; a great story (that happened once for goodness sake!) could be portrayed and enjoyed. But fairdinkum, six of the same movie that is based (according to old wikipedia) on a gang of dickheads who pinch other peoples stuff, do burnouts and say dumb stuff. FYI, the best car chase ever was in The Blues Brothers! Come on Hollywood! Lift!

A Turf Fascination’s top five favourite films of all-time

5. The Departed

4. Casablanca

3. Pulp Fiction

2. The Big Lebowski

1. Casino

The best gambling movie apart from Casino has to be The Sting or Let it Ride.

Punt

The old A Turf Fascination has been in a bit of form of late so pay attention.

Randwick

2.3. Knoydart $3.00. Has come on in leaps and bounds since having the old Lankan Rupee (the new worldwide name for a gelding) and in fact he was not that far behind the emerging superstar in Melbourne. He just looks the winner here.

Race 5. The Champagne Stakes

People are most likely in two different camps in regards to this race. Either the Peggy Jean camp or the Veuvelicious camp. Veuvelicious has a better name so we will go with her. She is shouting out for the mile and looks an each way lock.

Winner – 8. Veuvelicious $3.20

Hardest to beat – 9. Go Indy Go $5.50. South Oz visitor that looks pretty impressive.

Best long shot – 1. Scratch Me Lucky $14. Very honest and definitely worth an each way bet.

Race 6. The All-Aged Stakes

Winner – 1. Rebel Dane $3. The second best of the day. This is not a vintage version of this race considering last year it contained All Too Hard, More Joyous and Fiorente. Rebel Dane is the best 1400m horse in Australia and if he runs his best, he will be winning this.

Hardest to beat – 4. Weary $6.50. Looks a good horse in the making but coming back from the 1600m Doncaster on the minimum to a WFA 1400m race against Rebel Dane who is coming up from 1200m. It looks a hard task to say the least. But he is obviously very good, so if you like him, he will most likely run well.

Best long shot – 8. Bennetta $19. This mare was brilliant first up and she has always been very good. $19 looks a huge price. I thought she would be third favourtite at $8.

7.6. Northern Glory $6. This filly has been working the house down and has been knocking on the door for a while now. Looks set to run well.

Eagle Farm

1.1 The Storeman $5. I like this horse. He will be leading and is exceptionally hard to get past. He is the best of the day.

2.5 Poste Restante $4.40. A Hall of Fame mare that is getting close to a win. Pretty confident about her this week.

Race 7.

How about this race! Two inaugural Hall of Famers, plus both the Boom horses and Snitzerland! It would be easier to not tip in this race, but that is un-Australian and won’t be happening on this website on ANZAC Day.

Winner – 7. Snitzerland $2. She has a fitness edge on the horses that are better than her and a class edge on the ones that are fitter than her. She never runs a bad race and is heading towards the Doomben Group One races.

Hardest to beat – 3. Solzhenitsyn $13. The old boy always pops up first up. He needs the race probably twice as long but he will be flying home.

Best long shot – 8. Fire Up Fifi $10. The best grey horse in Australian racing history, that’s right, sorry Gunsynd; Schillaci who? Ok, she is probably not the best grey ever, but she is a favourite of mine who rarely disappoints and she will be carrying my hard earned again. Speaking of hard earned, please buy the book in the top right of the website. $7 dollars from every purchase goes straight towards the betterment of A Turf Fascination.

Morphettville

Good meeting in Adelaide this week. Good value on offer.

5.16. Tango’s Daughter $3.30. You just have to love when the best horse in the race is on the minimum. I would back this horse at level weights in this race, but she gets 6kg off the mares at the top. A great chance!

Race 6. The Australasian Oaks

Winner – 6. Scratchy Bottom $6. Has been aimed at this race for a while and her best is very good. She will out stay plenty of her rivals in this race.

Hardest to beat – 1. May’s Dream $4. She is the classiest horse in the field and she is bred to stay. Her mum is She’s Archie who should have won the Diva’s first Cup. What do you think?

Best long shot – 12. Love That Rock $51. Kav does not seem to be having many runners at the minute so we better take notice when one pikes up at $51 in a Group One race.

Race 7. Robert Sangster Stakes

Winner – 3. Shamal Wind $6. They have finally unlocked the secret to this mare… keep her fresh. She will give them a start but she really does looks an each way special.

Hardest to beat – 11. Villa Verde $5. There are five other chances including Platelet, but this filly has weight relief, is fit and is a grey!

Best long shot – 12. Miracles of Life $12. Please, let this filly bowl along in front. Let her give them something to catch. She is good enough to win, but as evident from about her last 10 starts, she does not like being near other horses. Let her bowl along!

Sandown

1.3. Akhlaaq $9. This stupidly named horse ran really well first up last time. He looks a good chance to do so again in this race.

2.2. Vain Queen $2. Hall of Fame filly that is going to be a superstar. Write that down.

8.15. Specter $6. My pennant captain should be watching this one closely. But everyone should cheer him home. He is really good and looks a spring horse in the making should he stay fit.

Good luck and stay tuned.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Seven Furlongs

Hello everyone

1400m or 7 furlongs is not that much further the 1200m or 6 furlongs is it? Well something strange has happened in regards to this step up in distance with three of our four greatest ever sprinters.

Our four best ever sprinters maybe were Black Caviar, Manikato, Vain and Todman. All four were brilliant sprinters who showed their best at 1200m. But Manikato, Vain and Todman all, strangely enough were beaten early in their careers at 1400m. These were three immortal champion sprinters that were pretty much unbeatable at their best, yet they all got rolled at their first try over 1400m. Well Vain had beaten a few stranglers over 1400m in the VRC Sires’ but at his first Sydney run over 1400m he was rolled.  There is no logical explanation for this; it is simply a coincidence.

Todman

The best two-year-old and probably second best male sprinter ever was beaten in the Sires’ as a two-year-old over 1400m. Todman had won his debut start by ten lengths, then the December Stakes by three lengths, then a welter and then the Golden Slipper by eight lengths. He was the 6-1 on favourite in the Sires’ and his form suggested he would be unbeatable hence the price. Unfortunately for Todman and the 70,000 that were at the track, another emerging colt won this race at 6-1. His name was Tulloch.

Capture

Todman was only beaten twice in his career. Once in this race, the Sires’ by Tulloch and once by Redcraze where Todman broke down. But to get beaten at 6-1 on over 1400m for the first time was a big shock.

Vain

I think Vain was the best sprinter Australia has ever seen. If Black Caviar and Vain had of raced as three-year-olds up the straight over 1200m at WFA, Vain would have won. Vain started his career by winning the Debutant Stakes at Caulfield by two lengths. He then won the Maribyrnong Plate by 8, the VRC Sires’ by 4 then the golden Slipper by 4. But again like Todman, in the AJC Sires’ over 1400m he was strangely beaten. Like Todman he jumped at 6-1 on but was beaten by Beau Babylon who was at 33-1 and was no good. It is a very strange that both these immortal colts were beaten in the 1400m Sires’ at 6-1 on. Todman was at least beaten by Tulloch, but Vain had no excuses. A week after his shock defeat in the Sires’, Vain backed up in the one mile Champagne and won by ten lengths at 8-15.  Beau Babylon was in this race and ran third beaten around twelve lengths. So why did Vain get rolled in the Sires’ and continue the curse of the 1400m?

Capture1

Manikato

The Man had won the Blue Diamond – Golden Slipper double both as the odds on favourite. This was in 1978. Then in the 1400m Sires’ like Todman and Vain, Manikato was the long odds on favourite and was expected to just win. But again like Vain and Todman, he was rolled. He led into the straight but tired badly and was over run. The three best male sprinters of all-time were all beaten in the 1400m Sires’ after winning the Golden Slipper.

Black Caviar

The super mare only ever had one start over 1400m and this is what happened…

Black Caviar jumped at $1.10 which is ten to one one thus shorter than the other three in their 1400m challengers.

Good luck and stay tuned.


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Sistine’s Cox Plate

Hello everyone

So how did everyone go on the punt? Here is a run down on how A Turf Fascination’s tips went…

Longma went terribly. Not sure what happened in this race. He is a very talented horse and was well backed but he did nothing. He will go back to a lesser grade now and try and get some confidence. Back him next start if it is in a mid week race or a lowly Saturday race.

The betting strategy in the Queen of the Turf did not go very well. The $10 on Red Tracer is gone. The quin with Red Tracer and Catkins also gone. The first four also gone. But hopefully people boxed the six horses from the suggested  first four because that paid $15,000! But overall, unless people lucked into the boxed first four, this race was not good.

Tha Oaks was a money back situation. $10 each way (as recommended) on Zanbagh would have given you back $22. Of Gai’s three; Forever Loved ran 4th, Amanpour mid field and Role Model ran last.

The Offer won the Sydney Cup and as predicted he got to just under $4. He won it easily, but please and I repeat PLEASE don’t rush to back him in the Melbourne Cup. He is currently $11 for the Cup. To put this in perspective, Fiorente jumped at $10 in last year’s Cup and he is a 30 length better horse than The Offer.

The tip It’s A Dundeel won the Queen Elizabeth and got out to pretty good odds. He will most likely be retired now which is a shame because he won’t be any good at stud and he could have been an immortal champion had he been allowed to run on.

At Caulfield The Quarterback won like Bernborough and is in for a great career. Sistine Demon won his race by 7 like Sunline. He will be a great chance for the Cox Plate based simply on what he did on Saturday. It was a great win. Saint of Sinner ran 4th at double figure odds and should have almost won. Elite Elle did not go too bad, but she is not anywhere near her best at the minute.

At Brisbane, Love Rocks was scratched but the Hall of Famer Excellentes won and paid $5. Cum Dividned ran 2nd but he will win his next start.

So ten races tipped into for five wins, two seconds, a 4th and a couple of dud results. Not too bad. Please send through your feedback and as long as it is not death threats, it will be published.

Good luck and stay tuned.

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Meow Meow

Hello everyone

Wisdom

Just a short little wisdom this week.

Now, there will no doubt be some angry feedback about the following comment, but I don’t care. Here it is…

Any human being of any sex, race or religion that takes a photo of a domestic cat and shows it to another human of any sex, race or religion is… A WEIRDO!

There are over 500 million cats in the world and all of them to a cat have done something ‘cute’ in their lives. There is no need to tie the internet up with pictures of these false affection showing / hay fever giving useless whining animals, unless you manage to snap a shot of a tiger (a cat after all) attacking a crocodile or something like that. Imagine how fast the internet would work if it was completely 100% cat free? The internet would flow perfectly and there would be no waiting or no computers freezing. The internet would be a better place as would be the world.

Cats! Average animals, terrible football team.

Punt

Photos of horses are fine!

Randwick

This is the biggest day of racing in the history of NSW. The Queen Elizabeth is worth more than the Cox Plate and races that had lost all their prestige over the years have been revamped and have been put together to make for a grand day. Here we go…

2.9. Longma. This colt has been flying on the track of late and after a luckless Sydney debut at Warwick ‘should be made into a pitch and putt golf course’ Farm, he is ready to win this race.

Race 5. The Queen of the Turf.

Here is what the good people at A Turf Fascination will be doing, because 1. Red Tracer and 3. Catkins are both Hall of Fame horses and both have an identical chance of winning. Here is the formula…

- $10 a win on 1. Red Tracer

- $5 quinella 1. Red Tracer and 3. Catkins.

- $5 first four 1,3 / 1,3 / 2,7,9,10

But if you are more a win bet punter, have $6 on Catkins (win return $24) and $4 on Red Tracer (win return $16).

Race 6. The Oaks

2. Lucia Valentina deserves to be the favourite, but she is very very very short at $2.50. The suggested way to go would be…

- $10 each way 1. Zanbagh. She is a gun filly and has been aimed at this race since November. She will be peaking on the day.

- $1 each way on 6, 10, 11. These are Gai’s three horses and they are all at huge odds. But all three are firing at trackwork and deserve respect.

There are too many chances in this race behind the favourite to try and be creative with exotic bets.

Race 7. The Sydney Cup.

4. The Offer is favourite, but he will get to $4 on the day so if you like him back him just before the race. There are some fairdinkum slow ones in this race, but here are also a couple of good ones. Here is an idea…

- $5 a win on 4. The Offer. He looks very hard to beat and you will get back $20 if he wins for a $5 risk. But count this bet as a saver. Risk $20 of your own all together with the following bets, and should The Offer win, you break even. Make sense?

- $5 a win on 1. Voleuse de Coeurs

- $2 each way 11. Hippopus

- $6 box first 1,2,3,4,5,11

Race 8. The Queen Elizabeth.

Every single horse in this race has a chance. I will be barracking very hard for Carlton House, but he is unders at the minute. If he gets to $6 have a go at him. But if he doesn’t, here is a nice little system considering ever runner has a chance of winning…

- $10 a win on It’s A Dundeel. He has been set for this race and it will most likely be his last start. All the others in the market have the exact same chance of winning as he does and coming back from 2400m to 2000m is very hard. He will run well and it is hard to see him missing a place.

- $5 each way on Boban. He hates the wet, but he will never be $15 again and he did win a Group One two starts ago.

Below is the ranking order according to A Turf Fascination for this race. If every horse runs its best and has perfect luck, this is the order I predict they will finish in (top five). The recommended bets above are based on price, but this list is based on talent and the conditions of the race. Remember this is a hypothetical scenario where every horses runs to its best and has no bad luck…

5th – 4. Green Moon

4th – 11. Royal Descent

3rd – It’s A Dundeel

2nd – 10 Silent Achiever

1st – 5. Carlton House

It is a bloody hard race!

Caulfield

5.4. The Quarterback. Should have won last start and will fly second up. Caulfield is not his go, but he simply might be better than these.

6.9. Sistine Demon. Will lead and take a stack of beating. If he wins this he automatically gets inducted into the A Turf Fascination Hall of Fame.

7.17. Saint or Sinner. A Stayer on the rise but this is a good race with the likes of Tanby and Julienas running. In fact have a little something on both those also!

8.6. Elite Elle. Stopped as if shot last week but she should be fitter for that run. She too is just one win away from an induction into the A Turf Fascination Hall of Fame.

Eagle Farm

7.5. Love Rocks. The best of the day and I don’t say that lightly because Excellantes is in this race and he IS in the Hall of Fame!

8.3. Cum Dividend. Second best of the day and he is at good odds.

Good luck and stay tuned.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Grand Armee

Originally posted on A Turf Fascination:

Hello everyone

Does anyone remember Grand Armee? He was the gelding who beat Lonhro at Lonhro’s last start. In doing so (by six lengths! at $7.50) he purchased this hard doing writer a new surfboard.

Grand Armee (Hennessy x Tambour) was sold at the Inglis Easter sale in the year 2000 for just $150,000. The gelding went on to win over 5.3 million on the track and is placed 14th on the all-time list of the highest earning thoroughbreds in Australia. Only Takeover Target and Black Caviar sit higher on the list as horses that never placed in or won a Melbourne Cup, Cox Plate or Caulfield Cup. To win 5.3 million without ever placing in one of the spring majors is a testament to just how consistent this gelding was in the rich Sydney handicaps and what were the very deep Weight for Age races of the mid…

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Three times a charm for the Lizzy Windsor specialist

Hello everyone

On Saturday, the revamped Queen Elizabeth will be run and won. This race now contains more prize money than the Cox Plate. But it has always been a good race, but it has been let slide by the ATC in favour of the Slipper and other race. The race is now firmly back on the agenda for all the best horses and this year’s edition will be fantastic, especially if Carlton House wins and Royal Descent runs second (write that down).

Just a quick two replays of past Queen Elizabeth Stakes’ before we get into the body of this story.

2007 – Desert War. No wonder this gelding has a stable named after him at Tulloch Lodge! Have a look at this win. He does all the work, but digs deep and gives his absolute all to hold off a boom colt.

2012 – More Joyous. The week after winning the Doncaster, More Joyous is backed up over 2000m a week later. She beat a very deep field with minimal effort. Almost every horse in this field was a Group One winner at the time of the race.

But the greatest winner ever of the Queen Elizabeth has to be Tulloch. He won the race three times. Off the top of the old head, I can only think of Black Caviar (three time winner of the WFA Lightening). Rough Habit (three time winner of the WFA Doomben Cup), Wakeful (three time winner of the WFA Mackinnon) and Kingston Town (three time winner of the WFA Cox Plate) that join Tulloch as a three time winner of a WFA race. There are probably a few more but these are the most famous.

As a three-year-old, Tulloch won the Queen Elizabeth by a length at even money. This race was exactly one week after the champion won the St. Leger by twenty lengths and doing so, ensuring poor old Prince Darius remained well and truly the bridesmaid. At Randwick on 12 April 1958, Tulloch had his last race as a three-year-old (it was in the Queen Elizabeth) and despite winning with ease, this would be the last time the champ would run for almost exactly two years.

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Three starts back after his comeback, Tulloch again found himself as the favourite for the Queen Elizabeth at Randwick. This time he was 6-1 on and he again won by a length. Tulloch came back from near death and won all five of his starts as a five-year-old including the 1960 Queen Elizabeth.

In between the 1960 and 1961 Queen Elizabeth Stakes races Tulloch had twelve starts for five wins, six places and one unplaced run in the 1960 Melbourne Cup where he had to carry 64kg in a field of 32 and was last on the turn and ran on like Bernborough for 7th. N. Sellwood was a legend, but he did not do much to help Tulloch on this day. The winner Hi Jinx won with 49kg.

The 1961 Queen Elizabeth victory was Tulloch’s third in the race and it was also his second last win ever in Sydney. Three days after this win he won the Autumn Stakes. Two days later he was beaten by an inch in the Sydney Cup then twelve days after that he was beaten under 60.5kg in a quality handicap. The champ was clearly coming to the end. He could have been retired after the Sydney Cup defeat, or after the subsequent two Sydney defeats, but no. Tommy Smith wanted to show Tulloch to Australia, so they went ot Adelaide and won a race, then the champ closed out his career with two wins in Brisbane. But rewind to the 1961 Queen Elizabeth Stakes. This was one of the champs best ever wins. He beat a champion named Persian Lyric by seven lengths; Persian Lyric had beaten Tulloch four days before the Queen Elizabeth and after the defeat to Tulloch in the QE, Persian Lyric went to Brisbane and won the Stradbroke. But on 18 March 1961, Tulloch absolutely smashed Persian Lyric over the 2000m in the Queen Elizabeth by seven lengths.

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So when Carlton House kicks clear by five on Saturday in the Queen Elizabeth, have a look to the heavens and hope the ghost of Tulloch helps get Carlton House home. Carlton House spends his nights in the stall (at Gai’s Tulloch Lodge) two apart from where Tulloch spent his life. Also Carlton House is owned by Queen Elizabeth so it would be good if he won the Queen Elizabeth!

Good luck and stay tuned.

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The Championships

Hello everyone

Wisdom

Simple wisdom this week. No one is going to the footy at the minute because it cost $7.20 for a mid strength beer. So if you take your beer loving  / footy loving wife / girlfriend to the footy, you are up for…

Two pots each at the pub on the way to the game = $20

$20 quaddie = $20

Two good tickets into the game = $110

Two pies and one bucket of chips at the footy = $15

Record = $5

Probably a scarf or extra jumper = $40

Eight beers each at the footy = $115

Two pots after the game to kill the memory of the loss = $20

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Grand total = $345 

 

If you sit at home with a slab and Foxtel…

Fox = $11 week

Slab = $50

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Grand total = $61

 

Punt

Saturday is day one of The Championships at Randwick. The track is wet, the fields are full and this is by far… I repeat, by far, the toughest meeting A Turf Fascination has ever tried to tip at. Just names and numbers this week; no comments. Caulfield complete card also given a run.

Randwick

Race 1.

Winner – 10. Echo Gal

Hardest to beat – 5. Kaepernick

Best roughie – 11. Loved Up

Race 2.

Winner – 1. Gypsy Diamond

Hardest to beat – 4. Liberty’s Choice

Best roughie – 10. O’Reilly’s Place

Race 3.

Winner – 5. Champagne Cath

Hardest to beat – 2. Bound for Earth

Best roughie – 11. Cosmic Endeavour

Race 4.

Winner – 3. The Offer

Hardest to beat – 1. Sertorius

Best roughie –6. Hippopus

The Championship races.

There are well over ten chances in each of these four races. Back a few, because picking just one is bordering on impossible!

Race 5. The Sires’

Winner – 3. Time for War

Hardest to beat – 5. Kumaon

Best roughies – 6. Scratch me Lucky. 4. Zululand

Race 6. The Derby

Winner – 2. Puccini

Hardest to beat – 1. Criterion

Best roughies – 5. Teronado. 16. Mountain View.

Race 7. The T.J. Smith

18 chances in this race! This is the deepest race I have ever seen.

Winner – 1. Buffering

Hardest to beat – 3. Lankan Rupee

Best roughies – 5. Rebel Dane. 16. Zoustar.

Race 8. The Doncaster

There are 15 chances in this race!

Winner – 19. Weary

Hardest to beat – 7. Speediness

Best roughies – 4. Scared Falls. 9. Royal Descent

Race 9.

Winner – 8. Amanpour

Hardest to beat – 1. Arabian Gold

Best roughie – 2. Role Model

Caulfield

Race 1.

Winner – 6. Rawnaq

Hardest to beat – 1. Sneak a Peak

Best roughie – 4. Westsouthwest

Race 2.

Winner – 3. Red Casino

Hardest to beat – 2. Petrology

Best roughie – 1. Bullpit

Race 3.

Winner – 11. Laohu

Hardest to beat – 14. Tried and Tried

Best roughie – 6. Boy’s on Tour

Race 4.

Winner – 2. Under The Louvre

Hardest to beat – 5.  I am Titanium

Best roughie –10. Washington Square

Race 5.

Winner – 1. Honey Steel’s Gold

Hardest to beat – 3. Bring Something

Best roughie – 2. De Little Engine

Race 6.

Winner – 7. Nearest to Pin

Hardest to beat – 4. Natuzzi

Best roughie – 3. Cosmic Causeway

Race 7.

Winner – 1. Elite Elle

Hardest to beat – 12. Minaj

Best roughie – 16. Just a Girl

Race 8.

Winner – 9. Backstedt

Hardest to beat – 6. Bass Strait

Best roughie – 4. Flying Hussler

Good luck and stay tuned.

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