First of all, sorry to all the international readers of A Turf Fascination because this wisdom has to do with Australian Rules Football.
So young Motlop from the Geelong Cats got suspended by his club for having a few beers on Good Friday, four days before his Easter Monday game. First things first… Good Friday is the worst day of the year to start with! No footy or races! Anyway, Young Motlop had a few beers, nothing too bad and his teammates found and suspended him for breaking team rules.
However, if on the same day (and he most certainly did not) Motlop had of smoked a bit of the old ice or snorted a touch of the old devils dandruff, and tested positive to these or any other drugs, he would have been allowed to play! If he then the next week cracked into some ice and again got caught, he still would not have been suspended. Then if on the next weekend, for the third week in a row, had he have been caught smoking ice, he still would not have been suspended, but he would have to attend some form of counselling.
Yet he has four or five pots and is named and shamed and suspended. Illicit drugs that despite what you see every day, are still illegal are deemed in footy circles as acceptable three times, but a few beers is a big no no. This is bullshit!
Not much idea here as it will be a horrible wet track, so just go easy on these…
2.1. Sarajevo. Will win this in a canter if he handles the wet which he does I think?
5.5. Religify. Would probably win the Hollindale on the Gold Coast, yet he is $3 in this race for goats. Clear best of the day if the track holds together.
6.3. Frespanol. Gai has set this horse for this race. He likes his runs spaced out and he is fresh enough to win this easily.
2.2 Petracca. Run a great race last start and probably should have won. Flemington will certainly suit.
4.7. Rawnaq. This goat better win soon or he is out forever!
5.2. Jabali. Beaten at $1.20, then $1.50 but now he his $16. Worth a smal each way bet.
8.15. Price Harada. Looks more like a race horse after having the ultimate Lankan Rupee gear change. He should win this race. Second best of the day.
A crack at the entire card!
Black type is the order of the day on the Gold Coast
Straight out of the Sydney Autumn and we are already kind of in the Brisbane Winter Carnival. This week the feature meeting is at the Gold Coast, and it has to be said that as punters, we need to be aware that weird stuff happens at this track! It is the most used track in Australia and it is currently a soft track with great drying conditions forecast. This will promote speed lanes. The good lanes might be wide or they might be close to the fence but one thing is for sure, good horses can have horrible luck at this track. But tough, honest horses seem to really thrive at the big meetings at the Gold Coast, so that is where we will be looking. Here goes…
Race 1 – 11:42AM SURFERS PARADISE RSL GUNSYND CLASSIC Three-Years-Old Plate (1800 METRES)
- Worthy Cause is coming off a great 4 length win at Doomben. He has never been over a trip anywhere near 1800m, but the way he won last Saturday indicates he should thrive over the extra trip. The colt looks to be hitting form at the right time and $5 is a great bet at level weights from a fair barrier. Good each way chance.
Race 2 – 12:17PM BORDER SECURITY SERVICES GOLD COAST BRACELET 3-Y-O Fillies Plate (1800 METRES)
- Bohemian Lily. When Gai sends horses to the Gold Coast you have to pay attention. The Lady Trainer has one of the best strike rates at the track and she knows what kind of horse is required as to win feature races. Bohemian Lily is a former kiwi that has had just the one run in Australia. The step up to 1800m will suit the daughter of O’Reilly and she will be hitting the line hard. $4.40 is on a bit short side but that is just because of the Gai factor, but don’t be surprised if the former kiwi filly is flying home when the whips are cracking.
Race 3 – 12:52PM GOLDCOASTWEBSITES.COM.AU CHAIRMAN’S HANDICAP (2200 METRES)
- Index Linked looks well suited here at the 2200m. The first three races are over 1800m, 1800m and 2200m, so at least after this race we should know how the track is playing. Index Linked has had some recent good runs and he always gets better with more racing. He has his share of weight on Saturday, but with the best rider of stayers in the land aboard (G. Boss), and barrier one, the former Euro will get a great run and should be powerful at the end. He is $4.50 in the race only because of his weight. If it was a market based on the best horse he would be even money. He looks exceptional each way value.
Race 4 – 1:27PM BETTER THAN READY SILK STOCKING Fillies and Mares Handicap (1200 METRES)
- Espiritu looks the value in the race. She has had nine starts for six wins and three places, she never runs a bad race and the 1200m is her favourite trip. 8. I’ve Got The Looks will be extremely hard to beat but $2.50 looks thin for a bit of a non-winner.
Race 5 – 2:02PM CARLTON DRAUGHT PRIME MINISTER’S CUP (1400 METRES)
- Jetstar Lad has always has plenty of ability but he better start doing something as he is almost an eight-year-old. The top two in the weights will be hard to beat, but they are non-winners and $3.80 is too short for both of them. Jetstar Lad is $21 and if he runs his best he will be thereabouts. Worth a small each way bet.
Race 6 – 2:42PM MORETON HIRE KEN RUSSELL MEMORIAL CLASSIC (1200 METRES)
- Regatta Rebel looks a future star. She has a perfect barrier, a gun hoop, a terrific trainer and if she runs up to her first-up form she will blow this field away. She will be out in front, she can handle any surface and if she gets to $3 then she is exceptional value.
Race 7 – 3:17PM SMEG VICTORY STAKES (1200 METRES)
- Srikandi. This mare is ready to rock and roll. She has had plenty of trackwork, a few trials and jumps outs and she is has never not won over this trip. Just for good measure she is also a winner this track and trip. The value is 8. Cape Kidnappers. This mare rarely runs a bad race; in fact apart from dropping the rider once, she has only missed a place once. She is worth an each way bet with a good win bet on Srikandi.
Race 8 – 3:52PM SKY THOROUGHBRED CENTRAL A.D. HOLLINDALE STAKES (1800 METRES)
This is a weird race. Pornichet can’t get a start which is a shame because he would be the tip. Therefore the bet is 13. Silent Achiever. She rarely runs badly, she is very classy and as long as this race is not simply a tune up race, then she should be running on late. She can perform on any surface and looks set for a great preparation. She is worth some each way thought.
Race 9 – 4:28PM ATTWOOD MARSHALL LAWYERS GOLD COAST GUINEAS (1200 METRES)
- Aimee is going to win sooner or later. She has to be the unluckiest filly in the country. She has barrier 18 of 18 and rarely do horses win at the Gold Coast from out there, however she has talent, is a local and is $26. She will be motoring home and with just a tiny bit of luck she might stick her nose out at the right time.
Good luck and stay tuned.