Keep Kenny Kicking

Hello everyone

The bloke who taught me how to play guitar is crook. He is really crook and as such, some people who are closest to him have organised a benefit concert to help pay for his treatment…

https://www.facebook.com/keepkennykickin?fref=ts

Anyone in south-west Victoria on Saturday should be coming to this show. Ten bands for $30 and all proceeds go to the lad who needs it most.

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http://www.standard.net.au/story/2521789/friends-kick-in-for-kennys-cancer-fight/?cs=4162

There will be an auction, comedy and all kinds of fun. Anyone who is interested needs to go to Dale Cleve’s music store in Warrnambool to buy a ticket or give a lady named Sarah McCall a ring on 0415 488 260.

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The Gramps will be playing…

https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=10202294663922056&set=vb.1654997009&type=2&theater

So will SILVERKANE // SLVRKN

So come one come all and ask around for the Chief Historical Adviser of A Turf Fascination and I might even give you a tip for the races on that day. If anyone wants more info please either contact the facebook page, me, Sarah or Dale Cleve’s.

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And since everyone has read this post and will now come to the event, please enjoy some tips for the races today at Canterbury…

HIMPAPAWID (Race 1, 1.40pm, 1580m, No. 1, rider Tommy Berry, 59kg).
Himpapawid (Dreamscape x Ulap), three-year-old gelding. After being scratched on Saturday in favour for this race, Himpapawid looks an exceptional winning chance. He has a stack of ability, he is unbeaten and Canterbury will certainly suit. Strong winning chance.

 

ECHO KING (Race 1, 1.40pm, 1580m, No. 6, rider Tye Angland, 55.5kg).
Echo King (High Chaparral x Miss Maren), three-year-old colt. It looks as if this colt will finally make it to the track on Wednesday. He is debuting over the mile (or near enough to) and this distance will suit. He looks destined to get over plenty more ground in the future so the extra distance on debut should not be a problem. He has been working well, has trialled well and will make his presence felt on Wednesday. Each way chance.

 

DONELLE (Race 2, 2.15pm, 1100m, No. 1, rider Winona Costin (a3), 59.5kg).
Donelle (Not a Single Doubt x Avarice), three-year-old filly. After a nice spell, this talented filly is back and she is looking a picture of health and happiness. She mixed it with some of the best fillies as a two-year-old and after one good trial, she looks ready to resume her career. She has her share of weight in this race, but with Winona’s claim and a nice barrier, expect a good run from this filly. Winning chance.

 

MING (Race 2, 2.15pm, 1100m, No. 7, rider Tim Clark, 57kg).
Ming (Lonhro x Throne Inn), three-year-old filly. This filly has always shown plenty of ability but she has mixed her form a touch. She has matured since her two-year-old days and she has also visibly filled out during her most recent spell. Her one trial this time in was pretty good and her best is easily good enough to compete in this race on Wednesday. Each way hope.

 

TALISA (Race 2, 2.15pm, 1100m, No. 10, rider Tommy Berry, 56kg).
Talisa (Manhattan Rain x Lustre Lady), three-year-old filly. This filly has been starring at trackwork of late and the 4.5 length trial win at the start of August was a very eye catching performance. She will get better with more racing, but she certainly won’t be a push over in this race on Wednesday. Strong each way chance.

 

OUR CATCH (Race 3, 2.50pm, 1100m, No. 11, rider Kerrin McEvoy, 56.5kg).
Our Catch (Flying Spur x Glendelvine), three-year-old gelding. This gelding has trialled four times since his last run and all four trials have been suburb. He has been working the house down over the last few weeks and the penny looks as if it has really dropped and he is ready to be a racehorse. He is a good winning chance on Wednesday.

 

HYDRO (Race 4, 3.25pm, 1900m, No. 3, rider Tommy Berry, 55.5kg).
Hydro (More Than Ready x Aqua D’amore), four-year-old gelding. This gelding is way down in weight and has found a very winnable race. He has been ticking along nicely over the last few weeks and his best is clearly good enough to win this race. While he has only won the one race so far in his career, he is getting better and another win is not too far away. He will go close to adding another tick in his win column on Wednesday. Winning chance.

 

WHITE DOVE (Race 4, 3.25pm, 1900m, No. 8, rider Winona Costin (a3), 54kg).
White Dove (High Chaparral x Angel Dreamer), four-year-old filly. Finally this mare is getting to a distance that she was born to flourish at. She has stayer written all over her and she will show her best at this distance and perhaps beyond. She looks a big chance on Wednesday in a pretty good race. Really strong each way chance.

 

ECHO GAL (Race 5, 4.00pm, 1200m, No. 6, rider Winona Costin (a3), 54kg).
Echo Gal (Stratum x Pink Siris), three-year-old filly. After a great first up win, this filly is back to the races and again looks a good winning chance. She has conditions to suit on Wednesday and should she run up to expectations, she might find herself in a bigger and better race very soon. She is a smart filly and will run well. Winning chance.

Good luck and stay tuned.

 

 

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Bloody Vain Queen

Hello everyone.

It was not a bad weekend on the punt right? It would have been a lot better if Vain Queen, our best of the day had won. She was almost the best thing beaten I have ever seen. She is a leader, but she went back to last. She weaved through the field, was about to hit the lead and win by probably four lengths, only to be really badly held up and she was stopped in her tracks. She still rallied, started again, weaved in and out of some runners and ran 4th. She would have won with just bad luck, but she got absolutely nothing! Oh well, just double your bet on her next time.

Gregers won and Commanding Jewel ran third. It would have been a little better if Commanding Jewel stuck her nose out one more inch and ran second, but we can’t complain too much.

Moment of Change broke down and Boban was ok. But this race was weird. Dissident was really good and he will be hard to beat in the future. Stick with Sweet Idea out of the race. She is a ripper.

Himpapawid was scratched on Saturday at Rosehill, but will win on Wednesday so stick with him.

Tohunga will go for a spell surely? He was terrible and just gave up.

Greatwood and Bonfire ran the quinella so that was very very good for everyone! Back Greatwood in the Metropolitan and Bonfire in the Herbert Power before the Caulfield Cup.

Ryker was scratched but is still flying and will be tipped next start.

Ok, so that is that.

Follow…

Vain Queen, Greatwood, Bonfire, Himpapawid, Ryker

Sack…

Boban – Not a WFA horse

Good luck and stay tuned.

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Not Gonna to Phone it in Tonight

Hello everyone.

Wisdom

Today’s wisdom is directed at A Turf Fascination. Here at this fine establishment we lately have been simply reblogging old posts rather than write new ones. This is due to the Lady Trainer cracking the whip at my actual job and a simple lack of time. Ciaron Maher Racing, The Home of Racing and numerous other organisations hire A Turf Fascination to write smart stuff for them about horses, and they all have been busy! Now dear reader, rest assured, from now on I will be writing more articles for this website than ever before and studying the form harder than ever. And to help A Turf Fascination along, everyone reading the tips today should buy The Bernborough Phenomenon. The book is only $7 and it can be purchased on the right hand side of this website or by clicking this link…

http://bookstore.bookcountry.com/Products/SKU-000694993/The-Bernborough-Phenomenon.aspx

So get $7 right now and go and put it on Gregers (Caulfield race 7 number 3). When that mare wins, you will have $21. Use $7 of that $21 to buy  The Bernborough Phenomenon. Then everyone wins!

Stay tuned everyone for more and more posts about both the history of racing and about current racing issues. There will be no more phoning it in! More effort will be put in!

Maybe Steve Martin can explain what I mean…

Even the greats take the easy option sometimes!

Punt

In regards to Sydney I have absolutely no idea. The track is wet and tipping on wet surfaces is very dangerous. Instead I will run you through Gai’s main chances as I write about them every day and have at least half an idea about which ones might run well.

HIMPAPAWID (Race 1, 12.40pm, 1400m, No. 3, rider Tommy Berry, 58kg). Yes. A gun gelding that should be good enough to get through the mud. He is heading towards the Caulfield Guineas (fingers crossed) and is really really good.

TOHUNGA (Race 3, 1.50pm, 2400m, No. 6, rider Tim Clark, 56kg). Should run in the top three and can easily win.

ALMALAD (Race 6, 3.45pm, 1200m, No. 1, rider Tommy Berry, 60kg). 60kg on a heavy track first up without a trial. He will have to be a star to win this race, but he is already a Group One winner. Maybe back him a place because he will be much better suited over 1400m in the Golden Rose, 1600m in the Caulfield Guineas and 2040 in the Cox Plate.

BONFIRE (Race 7, 4.25pm, 1800m, No. 3, rider Tim Clark, 58kg). Can win and is well suited.

GREATWOOD (Race 12, 4.25pm, 1800m, No. 12, rider Tommy Berry, 54kg). A big chance and is exceptionally well weighted.

RYKER (Race 8, 5.05pm, 1200m, No. 7, rider Tommy Berry, 57kg). If the track was not heavy I would be declaring this one. But he has had  his chances on the wet and gone terribly. But he is a much better horse now and he is absolutely flying. It is up to you dear readers if you back him, but having said that, I will be.

Caulfield

It is dry at Caulfield so we will have a bit more of a crack here.

Race 1.

1. Veuvelicious

3. Top Sight.

Both these fillies are at good odds and while the 1 is resuming, Top Sight has already won in great fashion this time in. They both can be backed.

Race 3. 10. Signoff. If this Melbourne Cup hope is any good at all, he should be fresh enough and classy enough to get past these at 1400m.

Race 5. 15. Vain Queen. The best of the day. She has had a freshen up, she is very good and Caulfield will suit. If she is right, she can blow this field away. But also have a little saver each way on 9. Lonspresso.

Race 7. 3. Gregers. Second best of the day and she only has to beat 6. Commanding Jewel. Both girls are going really well, so work out a strategy to back both. Perhaps $7 on Gregers and $3 on Commanding Jewel. Commanding Jewel will firm and Gregers will drift.

Race 8. This is the Group One Memsie and every horse in the race has a chance. However it looks as if 3. Moment of Change will get a perfect run and he has been set for this race. Have a saver on the old faithful 2. Boban.

Good luck and stay tuned.

 

 

 

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Amelia’s Dream

aturffascination:

G’day everyone. I am still looking through the form and seeing if the rain is going to stop in Sydney. So please enjoy this reblog and the form and wisdom will be up tomorrow after lunch. But back Ryker now!

Originally posted on A Turf Fascination:

Hello everyone

Following on from the Todman post, we today will have a look at another who was a sensation as a two-year-old.

This is Amelia’s Dream. Have a look at her muscle tone…

downloadThis photo was taken at the end of her second start. The 1100m Silver Slipper Stakes at Rosehill.

Amelia’s Dream was purchased at the 2007 Magic Millions sales by Gai Waterhouse for two clients. The filly was by Redoutes Choice out of a St. Covet mare Shalt Not. She fetched $250,000 at the sales and was immediately placed at Gai’s Tulloch Lodge where she started to grow and mature at a rate rarely seen by the lady trainer.  It is fair to say that Gai was excited about this filly from the moment it entered the stables!

Amelia’s Dream had her first barrier trial on Feb 12 2008; this trial was less than impressive. She (tightly held) won the trial…

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Redoute’s Choice

Hello everyone

What would have happened if at a yearling sale in 1996 or 1997, a colt by Danehill out of a mare named Shantha’s Choice walked through the ring and we, the A Turf Fascinators, had have put our hands up and took the colt home. We would have then raced him and on the track he would have ended up making about $1.5 million. We would have been happy with that. Who would not be happy with a four time Group One winner right? Then we would have retired him to stud. This is exactly what Redoute’s Choice owners did. On the track he raced ten times for five wins, then he was retired to Arrowfield Stud. He has been at stud now for 14 years, serving about 190 mares a year at an average over the 14 years of around $200,000 a go. Redoute’s Stud fee is currently $110,000 but back in the day it was $330,000. So lets call it an average of $220,000 over 14 years multiplied by 190 mares a year… the result… $585,200,000. That is what Redoute’s Choice has made at stud in 14 years. Imagine paying for the yearling, racing him to win four Group Ones, then making an extra $42 million dollars a year by having him stand in a paddock for 90% of his time. The other 10% of his time he is paying the bills, but for the most part, he does nothing but eat grass.

It is hard to find what Redoute’s Choice cost as a yearling. He was by a champion sire in Danehill and his mum ended up being a champion broodmare. He most likely cost around $300,000 – $500,000 as a yearling. So on the track we would have made three times our original investment and by now we would have made almost 2000 times our original investment at stud.

But what makes a champion sire? Well to start with you have to be pretty good on the track. I personally think that a champion sire on the track has to display a true will to win. Have a look at the second video of the below package. Redoute’s Choice is clearly headed in the 1999 Caulfield Guineas by another good colt named Testa Rossa. But Redoute’s does not wilt; he fights back. This tenacity is the first thing one should look for in a potential stallion…

The second thing of course is pedigree. Redoute’s Choice’s pedigree has been proven on his dam’s side over the last 14 years. But his stallion’s side was well and truly proven before he was born. He is by Danehill who is a generation defining stallion. His grand sire was Danzig and his great grand sire was Northern Dancer. Now of course all the progeny of Danehill have Northern Dancer in their blood, but with Redoute’s Choice being a great stallion himself, he is now the third generation defining stallion in his line. But what makes Redoute’s pedigree that extra bit special is the fact that Northern Dancer, the most important stallion of the 20th century, is also on his dam’s side. This inbreeding is crucial. Having the Northern Dancer line on both sides of a pedigree chart is pretty rare but very successful. We will leave that there because pedigree talk is never ending!

Unfortunately Redoute’s will just keep on making the rich richer, and us mere punters will have to concentrate on the form. But in the racing industry, you never know when an immortal is going to pop up. So stay involved; buy a horse if you can afford one and always take a quaddie!

Good luck and stay tuned.

 

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The best double

Originally posted on A Turf Fascination:

Hello everyone

Only five horses in one year and six horses over all have won the Cox Plate and the Melbourne Cup double. These are the two best races in Australia and it is no real surprise that so few horses have achieved this remarkable double.

Makybe Diva 2005

Phar Lap 1930

Saintly 1996

Nightmarch 1929

Rising Fast 1954 (he also won the Caulfield Cup)

Might and Power 1997 – 1998

These six horses all sit comfortably in the top 50 Australia have ever seen and Rising Fast, Phar Lap and the Diva are probably in the top ten.

So why is it so hard to win this double? And especially hard to win it in one year? Fiorente is currently $23 to do the double this year, while PDL is $13 to achieve the double this year. Does that seem very short considering only the absolute best of the…

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Wet wet wet

Hello everyone

Betting on wet tracks is bloody hard as we all saw yesterday. Disregard all the form yesterday should the tracks in Sydney dry heading towards the Epsom and so on.

Weird things happen on wet tracks. Please enjoy the below videos of average horses winning Group One races due to the state of the tracks…

These are all pretty average horses that won only due to a wet track. The lesson… when it is wet just watch or back horses with the word ‘Zabeel’ somewhere on their pedigree chart.

Good luck and stay tuned.

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