Sistine’s Cox Plate

Hello everyone

So how did everyone go on the punt? Here is a run down on how A Turf Fascination’s tips went…

Longma went terribly. Not sure what happened in this race. He is a very talented horse and was well backed but he did nothing. He will go back to a lesser grade now and try and get some confidence. Back him next start if it is in a mid week race or a lowly Saturday race.

The betting strategy in the Queen of the Turf did not go very well. The $10 on Red Tracer is gone. The quin with Red Tracer and Catkins also gone. The first four also gone. But hopefully people boxed the six horses from the suggested  first four because that paid $15,000! But overall, unless people lucked into the boxed first four, this race was not good.

Tha Oaks was a money back situation. $10 each way (as recommended) on Zanbagh would have given you back $22. Of Gai’s three; Forever Loved ran 4th, Amanpour mid field and Role Model ran last.

The Offer won the Sydney Cup and as predicted he got to just under $4. He won it easily, but please and I repeat PLEASE don’t rush to back him in the Melbourne Cup. He is currently $11 for the Cup. To put this in perspective, Fiorente jumped at $10 in last year’s Cup and he is a 30 length better horse than The Offer.

The tip It’s A Dundeel won the Queen Elizabeth and got out to pretty good odds. He will most likely be retired now which is a shame because he won’t be any good at stud and he could have been an immortal champion had he been allowed to run on.

At Caulfield The Quarterback won like Bernborough and is in for a great career. Sistine Demon won his race by 7 like Sunline. He will be a great chance for the Cox Plate based simply on what he did on Saturday. It was a great win. Saint of Sinner ran 4th at double figure odds and should have almost won. Elite Elle did not go too bad, but she is not anywhere near her best at the minute.

At Brisbane, Love Rocks was scratched but the Hall of Famer Excellentes won and paid $5. Cum Dividned ran 2nd but he will win his next start.

So ten races tipped into for five wins, two seconds, a 4th and a couple of dud results. Not too bad. Please send through your feedback and as long as it is not death threats, it will be published.

Good luck and stay tuned.

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Meow Meow

Hello everyone

Wisdom

Just a short little wisdom this week.

Now, there will no doubt be some angry feedback about the following comment, but I don’t care. Here it is…

Any human being of any sex, race or religion that takes a photo of a domestic cat and shows it to another human of any sex, race or religion is… A WEIRDO!

There are over 500 million cats in the world and all of them to a cat have done something ‘cute’ in their lives. There is no need to tie the internet up with pictures of these false affection showing / hay fever giving useless whining animals, unless you manage to snap a shot of a tiger (a cat after all) attacking a crocodile or something like that. Imagine how fast the internet would work if it was completely 100% cat free? The internet would flow perfectly and there would be no waiting or no computers freezing. The internet would be a better place as would be the world.

Cats! Average animals, terrible football team.

Punt

Photos of horses are fine!

Randwick

This is the biggest day of racing in the history of NSW. The Queen Elizabeth is worth more than the Cox Plate and races that had lost all their prestige over the years have been revamped and have been put together to make for a grand day. Here we go…

2.9. Longma. This colt has been flying on the track of late and after a luckless Sydney debut at Warwick ‘should be made into a pitch and putt golf course’ Farm, he is ready to win this race.

Race 5. The Queen of the Turf.

Here is what the good people at A Turf Fascination will be doing, because 1. Red Tracer and 3. Catkins are both Hall of Fame horses and both have an identical chance of winning. Here is the formula…

- $10 a win on 1. Red Tracer

- $5 quinella 1. Red Tracer and 3. Catkins.

- $5 first four 1,3 / 1,3 / 2,7,9,10

But if you are more a win bet punter, have $6 on Catkins (win return $24) and $4 on Red Tracer (win return $16).

Race 6. The Oaks

2. Lucia Valentina deserves to be the favourite, but she is very very very short at $2.50. The suggested way to go would be…

- $10 each way 1. Zanbagh. She is a gun filly and has been aimed at this race since November. She will be peaking on the day.

- $1 each way on 6, 10, 11. These are Gai’s three horses and they are all at huge odds. But all three are firing at trackwork and deserve respect.

There are too many chances in this race behind the favourite to try and be creative with exotic bets.

Race 7. The Sydney Cup.

4. The Offer is favourite, but he will get to $4 on the day so if you like him back him just before the race. There are some fairdinkum slow ones in this race, but here are also a couple of good ones. Here is an idea…

- $5 a win on 4. The Offer. He looks very hard to beat and you will get back $20 if he wins for a $5 risk. But count this bet as a saver. Risk $20 of your own all together with the following bets, and should The Offer win, you break even. Make sense?

- $5 a win on 1. Voleuse de Coeurs

- $2 each way 11. Hippopus

- $6 box first 1,2,3,4,5,11

Race 8. The Queen Elizabeth.

Every single horse in this race has a chance. I will be barracking very hard for Carlton House, but he is unders at the minute. If he gets to $6 have a go at him. But if he doesn’t, here is a nice little system considering ever runner has a chance of winning…

- $10 a win on It’s A Dundeel. He has been set for this race and it will most likely be his last start. All the others in the market have the exact same chance of winning as he does and coming back from 2400m to 2000m is very hard. He will run well and it is hard to see him missing a place.

- $5 each way on Boban. He hates the wet, but he will never be $15 again and he did win a Group One two starts ago.

Below is the ranking order according to A Turf Fascination for this race. If every horse runs its best and has perfect luck, this is the order I predict they will finish in (top five). The recommended bets above are based on price, but this list is based on talent and the conditions of the race. Remember this is a hypothetical scenario where every horses runs to its best and has no bad luck…

5th – 4. Green Moon

4th – 11. Royal Descent

3rd – It’s A Dundeel

2nd – 10 Silent Achiever

1st – 5. Carlton House

It is a bloody hard race!

Caulfield

5.4. The Quarterback. Should have won last start and will fly second up. Caulfield is not his go, but he simply might be better than these.

6.9. Sistine Demon. Will lead and take a stack of beating. If he wins this he automatically gets inducted into the A Turf Fascination Hall of Fame.

7.17. Saint or Sinner. A Stayer on the rise but this is a good race with the likes of Tanby and Julienas running. In fact have a little something on both those also!

8.6. Elite Elle. Stopped as if shot last week but she should be fitter for that run. She too is just one win away from an induction into the A Turf Fascination Hall of Fame.

Eagle Farm

7.5. Love Rocks. The best of the day and I don’t say that lightly because Excellantes is in this race and he IS in the Hall of Fame!

8.3. Cum Dividend. Second best of the day and he is at good odds.

Good luck and stay tuned.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Grand Armee

Originally posted on A Turf Fascination:

Hello everyone

Does anyone remember Grand Armee? He was the gelding who beat Lonhro at Lonhro’s last start. In doing so (by six lengths! at $7.50) he purchased this hard doing writer a new surfboard.

Grand Armee (Hennessy x Tambour) was sold at the Inglis Easter sale in the year 2000 for just $150,000. The gelding went on to win over 5.3 million on the track and is placed 14th on the all-time list of the highest earning thoroughbreds in Australia. Only Takeover Target and Black Caviar sit higher on the list as horses that never placed in or won a Melbourne Cup, Cox Plate or Caulfield Cup. To win 5.3 million without ever placing in one of the spring majors is a testament to just how consistent this gelding was in the rich Sydney handicaps and what were the very deep Weight for Age races of the mid…

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Three times a charm for the Lizzy Windsor specialist

Hello everyone

On Saturday, the revamped Queen Elizabeth will be run and won. This race now contains more prize money than the Cox Plate. But it has always been a good race, but it has been let slide by the ATC in favour of the Slipper and other race. The race is now firmly back on the agenda for all the best horses and this year’s edition will be fantastic, especially if Carlton House wins and Royal Descent runs second (write that down).

Just a quick two replays of past Queen Elizabeth Stakes’ before we get into the body of this story.

2007 – Desert War. No wonder this gelding has a stable named after him at Tulloch Lodge! Have a look at this win. He does all the work, but digs deep and gives his absolute all to hold off a boom colt.

2012 – More Joyous. The week after winning the Doncaster, More Joyous is backed up over 2000m a week later. She beat a very deep field with minimal effort. Almost every horse in this field was a Group One winner at the time of the race.

But the greatest winner ever of the Queen Elizabeth has to be Tulloch. He won the race three times. Off the top of the old head, I can only think of Black Caviar (three time winner of the WFA Lightening). Rough Habit (three time winner of the WFA Doomben Cup), Wakeful (three time winner of the WFA Mackinnon) and Kingston Town (three time winner of the WFA Cox Plate) that join Tulloch as a three time winner of a WFA race. There are probably a few more but these are the most famous.

As a three-year-old, Tulloch won the Queen Elizabeth by a length at even money. This race was exactly one week after the champion won the St. Leger by twenty lengths and doing so, ensuring poor old Prince Darius remained well and truly the bridesmaid. At Randwick on 12 April 1958, Tulloch had his last race as a three-year-old (it was in the Queen Elizabeth) and despite winning with ease, this would be the last time the champ would run for almost exactly two years.

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Three starts back after his comeback, Tulloch again found himself as the favourite for the Queen Elizabeth at Randwick. This time he was 6-1 on and he again won by a length. Tulloch came back from near death and won all five of his starts as a five-year-old including the 1960 Queen Elizabeth.

In between the 1960 and 1961 Queen Elizabeth Stakes races Tulloch had twelve starts for five wins, six places and one unplaced run in the 1960 Melbourne Cup where he had to carry 64kg in a field of 32 and was last on the turn and ran on like Bernborough for 7th. N. Sellwood was a legend, but he did not do much to help Tulloch on this day. The winner Hi Jinx won with 49kg.

The 1961 Queen Elizabeth victory was Tulloch’s third in the race and it was also his second last win ever in Sydney. Three days after this win he won the Autumn Stakes. Two days later he was beaten by an inch in the Sydney Cup then twelve days after that he was beaten under 60.5kg in a quality handicap. The champ was clearly coming to the end. He could have been retired after the Sydney Cup defeat, or after the subsequent two Sydney defeats, but no. Tommy Smith wanted to show Tulloch to Australia, so they went ot Adelaide and won a race, then the champ closed out his career with two wins in Brisbane. But rewind to the 1961 Queen Elizabeth Stakes. This was one of the champs best ever wins. He beat a champion named Persian Lyric by seven lengths; Persian Lyric had beaten Tulloch four days before the Queen Elizabeth and after the defeat to Tulloch in the QE, Persian Lyric went to Brisbane and won the Stradbroke. But on 18 March 1961, Tulloch absolutely smashed Persian Lyric over the 2000m in the Queen Elizabeth by seven lengths.

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So when Carlton House kicks clear by five on Saturday in the Queen Elizabeth, have a look to the heavens and hope the ghost of Tulloch helps get Carlton House home. Carlton House spends his nights in the stall (at Gai’s Tulloch Lodge) two apart from where Tulloch spent his life. Also Carlton House is owned by Queen Elizabeth so it would be good if he won the Queen Elizabeth!

Good luck and stay tuned.

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The Championships

Hello everyone

Wisdom

Simple wisdom this week. No one is going to the footy at the minute because it cost $7.20 for a mid strength beer. So if you take your beer loving  / footy loving wife / girlfriend to the footy, you are up for…

Two pots each at the pub on the way to the game = $20

$20 quaddie = $20

Two good tickets into the game = $110

Two pies and one bucket of chips at the footy = $15

Record = $5

Probably a scarf or extra jumper = $40

Eight beers each at the footy = $115

Two pots after the game to kill the memory of the loss = $20

————————————————————————————

Grand total = $345 

 

If you sit at home with a slab and Foxtel…

Fox = $11 week

Slab = $50

————————————————————————————

Grand total = $61

 

Punt

Saturday is day one of The Championships at Randwick. The track is wet, the fields are full and this is by far… I repeat, by far, the toughest meeting A Turf Fascination has ever tried to tip at. Just names and numbers this week; no comments. Caulfield complete card also given a run.

Randwick

Race 1.

Winner – 10. Echo Gal

Hardest to beat – 5. Kaepernick

Best roughie – 11. Loved Up

Race 2.

Winner – 1. Gypsy Diamond

Hardest to beat – 4. Liberty’s Choice

Best roughie – 10. O’Reilly’s Place

Race 3.

Winner – 5. Champagne Cath

Hardest to beat – 2. Bound for Earth

Best roughie – 11. Cosmic Endeavour

Race 4.

Winner – 3. The Offer

Hardest to beat – 1. Sertorius

Best roughie –6. Hippopus

The Championship races.

There are well over ten chances in each of these four races. Back a few, because picking just one is bordering on impossible!

Race 5. The Sires’

Winner – 3. Time for War

Hardest to beat – 5. Kumaon

Best roughies – 6. Scratch me Lucky. 4. Zululand

Race 6. The Derby

Winner – 2. Puccini

Hardest to beat – 1. Criterion

Best roughies – 5. Teronado. 16. Mountain View.

Race 7. The T.J. Smith

18 chances in this race! This is the deepest race I have ever seen.

Winner – 1. Buffering

Hardest to beat – 3. Lankan Rupee

Best roughies – 5. Rebel Dane. 16. Zoustar.

Race 8. The Doncaster

There are 15 chances in this race!

Winner – 19. Weary

Hardest to beat – 7. Speediness

Best roughies – 4. Scared Falls. 9. Royal Descent

Race 9.

Winner – 8. Amanpour

Hardest to beat – 1. Arabian Gold

Best roughie – 2. Role Model

Caulfield

Race 1.

Winner – 6. Rawnaq

Hardest to beat – 1. Sneak a Peak

Best roughie – 4. Westsouthwest

Race 2.

Winner – 3. Red Casino

Hardest to beat – 2. Petrology

Best roughie – 1. Bullpit

Race 3.

Winner – 11. Laohu

Hardest to beat – 14. Tried and Tried

Best roughie – 6. Boy’s on Tour

Race 4.

Winner – 2. Under The Louvre

Hardest to beat – 5.  I am Titanium

Best roughie –10. Washington Square

Race 5.

Winner – 1. Honey Steel’s Gold

Hardest to beat – 3. Bring Something

Best roughie – 2. De Little Engine

Race 6.

Winner – 7. Nearest to Pin

Hardest to beat – 4. Natuzzi

Best roughie – 3. Cosmic Causeway

Race 7.

Winner – 1. Elite Elle

Hardest to beat – 12. Minaj

Best roughie – 16. Just a Girl

Race 8.

Winner – 9. Backstedt

Hardest to beat – 6. Bass Strait

Best roughie – 4. Flying Hussler

Good luck and stay tuned.

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Fiorente

Hello everyone

Fiorente has been retired and it is a shame, but he did more than enough to justify his price tag. I was standing not two feet from Gai when she saw this horse for the first time in October 2012. Gai labelled him on this day ‘the parachute horse’ because he basically landed in Australia then went straight to Flemington. It was almost as if he was pushed out of the plane and parachuted to the starting gates on the first Tuesday in November 2012.  I was also two feet away from the Lady Trainer on the Sunday before the Melbourne Cup 2013 when she run her eyes over him and declared ‘wins.’

Fiorente graced Australian racetracks from 6 November 2012 to 5 April 2014. 15 months, eleven starts and on Australian race tracks the entire earned about 80% of his total career stake money of 6.3 million. He earned this amount of money in 20 career starts. To put this in perspective, here are some of the other greatest earning Australian racehorses (that have earned roughly the same as Fiorente) and there total starts…

Fields of Omagh  - 6.5 million – 45 starts.

Tie the Knot – 6.2 million – 62 starts.

Takeover Target – 6 million – 41 starts.

Black Caviar – 8 million – 25 starts.

Fiorente – 6.3 million – 20 starts.

Fiorente was a champion. He always gave his best and had the track not been heavy on Saturday he would have won. Have a look at Fiorente now in each of his Aussie starts. He either wins, gives his all and gets rolled or is unlucky in all but one start.

First start in Australia – 2012 Melbourne Cup. The champ had been in Australia for about three weeks…

First up in the Autumn 2013. This was his one and only start at Randwick where he was trained. Have a look at him storm home over 1400m. Unfortunately this race will be remembered for all the wrong reasons. But keep an eye on Fiorente…

After a spell, here is Fiorente’s first up start in the 2013 spring. Keep your eye on him; he should have run second to Atlantic Jewel…

Next it was to Moonee Valley and the 1600m Feehan. Fiorente had no right to win this race. Firstly it was over an unsuitable trip on a tight track and Fiorente was in a hopeless position 200m from home…

Nope, no vision of this race!

Fiorente went to the Turnbull after this win. Nash did not ride the best race on him this day. Fiorente clearly should have won this race…

Next it was to the Cox Plate. Fiorente drew barrier 14 of 14 and had to endure a torrid run. Yes there were more excuses in this race, but if Fiorente had of drawn a slightly better barrier, he clearly would have won. If he had drawn barrier 6 for example, he would have got an easy run and bolted in in this race…

After the Cox Plate, Fiorente look close to a certainly for the Melbourne Cup. He was trained to the minute and in the run you would not wanted to be on any other horse…

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First up in the current Autumn, Fiorente contested the 1800m Peter Young Stakes. He was even money this day and it looked like he was going to be rolled, but he kicked into gear and won like the champion he was…

Nope, no footage of this one? Not sure why?

Second up, the Champ headed to the Australian Cup. Like in the Melbourne Cup, you would not have wanted to be on any other runner in the race. However in this race, for the first real time, Fiorente looked very dour and like he was looking for much further…

Next for the champ, it was back to Sydney and another run at 2000m. This was the only poor run of Fiorente’s career and there is no need to relive it!

Finally, Fiorente went to the BMW. The track was heavy and he could not find his acceleration on the mud. He still run really well. This was his last race…

Fiorente was a champion. The only male horses to place in a Melbourne Cup then win it the next year have been Carbine, Phar Lap, Gold and Black and Fiorente. The entire was competitive at any distance he raced at; he only ever ran one bad race and he really should have won the Cox Plate – Melbourne Cup double. He will be missed.

Good luck and stay tuned.

 

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Wet wet wet

Hello everyone

Now A Turf Fascination is not in the business of making excuses for dud tips. However when the rain comes, it makes punting very very very hard. The A Turf Fascination form is done Thursday night and put up late Thursday or early Friday as to give the 10,000 or so readers a good chance to write the tips down before the first on Saturday. It flogged rain Friday night and Saturday morning in Sydney, and as soon as the first was run and won, it looked as if only swimmers could win. The A Turf Fascination mail was done thinking the track might be a slow 6 or better. The track ended up a heavy 8.

There is no way; I repeat NO WAY Mossfun could beat Earthquake in the Slipper on any other track apart from a heavy. Mossfun will fade into insignificance but Earthquake will be a star should she not get shuffled off to Dubai.

The Vinery Stud was a disaster. All the horses were going up and down in the one place. Yes Solicit who we tipped for second ran well, but again, mark my words, the best horses (Solicit, Zanbagh) will be fighting out the Oaks, should the track not be too heavy.

Fiorente has been retired, but had the track been a slow and not a heavy, he would have won. As mentioned on A Turf Fascination, there were only three chances in this race and they all finished very close to each other. Silent Achiever won because she was the best wet tracker; Fiorente and It’s A Dundeel had never seen a heavy and ran accordingly.

The best of the day Catkins won, Junoob won but the rest were a little disappointing.

It is going to flog rain again on Friday and day one of the Championships looks set to be run on a wet track. Here is the A Turf Fascination early mail for the Championship races day one on Saturday…

The Doncaster looks a bit of a flat race this year. At this stage of the week, the tip will be either Sacred Falls or Speediness.

The Sires’ to looks a little flat with no superstars entered at this stage. In 1956 Todman and Tulloch ran the quinella. The tip at this stage will be the high priced colt Zululand.

Puccini will win the Derby. Very confident about this horse at this stage.

The T.J. Smith is going to be a cracker. If the track in not too heavy the tip will be Zoustar. Should it be dry the tip will be Buffering. A Turf Fascination will continue its boycott of Lankan Rupee despite the fact that he will probably win.

Tomorrow there will be a tribute to Fiorente so please tune in and have a look. There will be some sensational videos.

Good luck and stay tuned.

 

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