Sorry about the delay. Before we get into the big day at Rosehill, here are a few from around the the rest of the big island that most of us live on.
7.4. Show A Star
8.3. Under the Louvre – 5th best of the day
3.8. The Grey Flash
6.6. The Messina Nymph – 4th best of the day
6.3. Aimee – She will win this week
6.1. Najoom – Best of the day
It is a great day of racing at Rosehill on Saturday so why not have a crack at the entire card. Here we go.
Winner – 10. Street Rapper. This colt won over a very similar distance to this recently although that race was in lesser grade. He will have taken great benefit from said win and the fact that he was strong at the end of the 1350m will see him being hard to get past here at the 1400m
Hardest to beat – 6. Italy. Good form around the likes of Speak Fondy and she seems honest and is always hard to get past.
Best longshot – 8. Lighthouse Keeper. The Hawkes camp are very buoyant about this runner. He seems over the odds after a good run on debut.
Winner – 8. Medcaut. Although he is looking for further, there is no doubt this runner will be fit and will fly first up. He has a good first up record and this is hardly an All-Aged Stakes. Class will take him a long way.
Hardest to beat – 7. Frespanol. After a good last preparation, this gelding is ready to fire fresh. He is two from four first up and will be hard to beat.
Best longshot – 9. All Cerise. His mare has won second up in the past. She will enjoy the 1400m and will be strong to the line.
Winner – 6. Excess Knowledge. At Kembla Grange this entire was brilliant over a very unsuitable distance. His last 400m was breathtaking and the way he took the ground off some good horses late will see him again being very hard to hold out.
Hardest to beat – 2. Leebaz. This boy almost won this race last year but was just pulled in late by Weary. He likes running second up and he no doubt will be very hard to beat.
Best longshot – 5. Malice. This horse is a winner. He will be looking for much further but he is a winner first up and he won’t give up without a fight.
Winner – 1. Catkins. She seems the logical choice. She never runs a bad race and really, she usually wins. She is in career best form and she is a special for mine. Maybe the Doncaster next week also should she win this in style. 2nd best of the day.
Hardest to beat – 10. Amanpour. This mare has a stunning second up record. She is at huge odds, but she appears all set for a good run. Madam Gangster will in turn be hard to beat also, but this mare looks the value.
Best longshot – 4. Peggy Jean. Should have won last start in Melbourne and back to her home track, at 20-1 she will be sitting midfield and should she get a run she will be hard to hold out.
Winner – 6. Sidestep. Has trialled beautifully and is a former top liner. It looks as if he didn’t come up last time, but he did finish just 4 lengths from the guns in the Darley Classic before not enjoying the trip to Perth. He has since comeback and trialled well and he looks the best value runner on the card for mine.
Hardest to beat – 11. Ryker. Make no mistake… this gelding is very good. Gai would have wanted him in the Doncaster, but unless he wins this race, he is zero chance to get a run in the great race. He will win eventually so keep backing him on the each way basis. This time last year, he had some good form around Cosmic Endeavour.
Best longshot – 3. Rain Affair. Why not hey! You never know. He might get an easy lead, kick away and show some of his old class. He gave Atlantic Jewel a fright over this trip once before.
Winner – 1. First Seal. Another special. She was three wide the trip last start trying to win a race with a weight that not even More Joyous was forced to carry back in her glory days. She was a risk and she only got rolled by three inches. She is a special this week. 3rd best of the day.
Hardest to beat – 2. Set Square. Oaks winner and she might even win the Sydney Oaks also, but First Seal will be too sharp for her over 2000m.
Best longshot – 8. Adrift. A Zabeel filly that will eat the 2000m. If there are any queries on the others at the trip, then this is the filly that will be storming home.
Winner – 1. Protectionist. Remember this horse? He did not get warm in his first two runs, but they were over 1800m and 2000m. He is not Fiorente. He could not get close to Fiorente over 2000m but he would probably beat the now stallion over 2400m or 3200m. He is $10, he will love the trip and if he wins, we will have to take evens for the Sydney Cup.
Hardest to beat – 8. Hartnell. The Japanese horse is a risk simply because they can’t all win. He might just smash all the Aussies, but on form we have seen, Hartnell is a great chance. He will be flying home and as long as the Japanese horse (To The World) is not a champion, which he may be, then it is hard to see Hartnell not running in the top two.
Best longshot – 9. Silent Achiever. She is ticking along nicely and now we can finally get a price. She is clearly worth a bet at close to $15. She won this race last year and remember last spring? We all though she was going terribly, but then she almost won the Cox Plate. She is not going that bad.
Winner – 8. Caped Crusader. At just his second start this time in, this gelding smashed a decent field over 1800m. He can cruise in front and can kick hard around the turn off a hot speed. He is only going to get better and better and should he win this, he certainly can give the kiwis a fright in the Derby. He is the best each way bet of the day.
Hardest to beat – 1. Merion. The stable have been waiting to get this horse to the 2000m for a while now. He has shown he can’t beat Wandjina and so on, but these staying types might be more his go. He will be strong at the end.
Best longshot – 10. Happy Soul. Two nice wins in the bush in a row, Craig Williams and $41. Good enough for a small each way play.
Winner – 5. Pornichet. This former Frenchman was great last start despite still not being 100% fit. He is ready to peak now over the 2000m and just wait, he might be something very special should he put it all together. These are the best conditions he has ever had in a race (since arriving in Australia).
Hardest to beat – 13. Dear Demi. Class class class. She is back to the 2000m and she is always hard to beat.
Best longshot – 2. Hawkspur. After a return to form last start, this boy might just be back. His best is very good and he will find a good spot and be hard to get past at the end of the 2000m.
Good luck and stay tuned.