Silly love songs

Hello everyone

Wisdom

What is the best Paul McCartney solo song? Paul was the most talented Beatle but he was, in my opinion, only the third best song writer in the band. John Lennon was once asked if he thought Ringo was the best drummer in the world. John replied that Ringo was not even the best drummer in the Beatles; John was referring to Paul’s prowess on all instruments. Paul can sing, play piano, bass, guitar and any number of other musical instruments. He is one of the greatest of all time in writing a melody and he has always written songs that fit in perfectly with the times.  When the Beatles broke up he came up with Jet and Band on the Run and they were both ok, but they were no Imagine or Instant Karma. Paul started his post-Beatles band Wings with his wife and the love of his life Linda. Linda died in 1998 and Paul has clearly never got over it. He doesn’t mind giving ladies a 100 million a marriage these days after a quick whirlwind wedding followed by a Hollywood like divorce. His wife died in 1998 and the poor bloke will never get past it. This is both sad and very nice.

So what is the best Paul McCartney solo song? In my humble (albeit expert Beatles) opinion it is Silly Love Songs. Why you may ask? After all this is a pretty cheesy song that does not really fit in in 1978. Jet and Band on the Run are good rock songs but this song sends a brilliant message… have a listen to the first verse and the chorus…

Paul is asking the listener ‘really, you still want to here these silly songs that take one minute to write? Ok, I will record them and make more money I suppose.’ In nine years and hundreds of songs with the Beatles, Paul rarely if ever sings I LOVE YOU together in a line of lyrics. Here is the genius of the man. He is saying basically that he is sick of the Beatles melody and would love to do something different but he is committed to doing what the fans want. Then he manages to make a chorus using a sentence that almost every person in the world has said at sometime in their lives. He went through the entire 9 years of the Beatles and he sung the word love plenty of times including in…

Can’t Buy Me Love
All You Need Is Love
You’ve Got To Hide Your Love Away
And I Love Her
Love You To
It’s Only Love
She Loves You
Words of Love
Love Me Do
All My Loving

As far as I know the only Beatles song with the lyric ‘I love you’ in it is on the 1962 B side P.S. I love you.

Paul used the most commonly said sentence (in terms of people who have said it) in the history of time, he added this sentence to a little jingle where he directly says to the listener ‘surely you are sick of this crap by now!’ It was genius and a perfect example of writing songs for profit.

If by any chance you read this website Paul, please get in contact. I will give you a free copy of The Bernborough Phenomenon (as long as you promote it for free!).

Punt

Now before getting rich off my tips you lot, please buy The Bernborough Phenomenon e-book up the top right there of the website. It is only $7.

There have been several comments regarding the lack of reason why certain horses are being tipped, so for the three Group One races this week there is an essay attached. Having said that, the track at Rosehill is very wet and picking horses on wet tracks is extremely hard. Therefore only the Group Ones will be attempted at Rosehill. But Gai might help you out…

There will be heaps of scratchings tomorrow so just beware.

Rosehill

Race 6. Galaxy Handicap

Last year on the A Turf Fascination, we couldn’t have been any more confident about Bel Sprinter at $16. He bolted in and we got the cash. However this year with the track currently being heavy and Bel Sprinter having top weight, the confidence is not high at all. In fact it is not high on this race at all and it is only due to the wet track.

Rain Affair does not deserve a mention considering how much money he has cost this lowly racing scribe in particular… or does he? He had had eight starts on wet tracks for seven wins and a 2nd. He also loves the 1100m (5 from 7) and Rosehill (4 from 6). But he does find a way to lose. In fact he just gives up, but on a wet track he does have an advantage. Temple of Boom has won the same amount of Group One races as Bel Sprinter yet he has 2.5kg less than him in this race. He has had 11 starts on the wet for 5 wins and 4 seconds. Tiger Tees had had 5 starts on slow or worse for 3 wins and a 2nd while the bottom weight Anatina is one from one on the heavy. Bel Sprinter has never been on slow or heavy; neither has Sessions and Villa Verde has had one go and was thrashed.

The track is a worry but so are the handicaps. This is almost a good old fashion handicap. The spread is 6kg where in the past it has been 2 – 3kg. Bel Sprinter looks to have too much weight when compared to Famous Shamus. These two horses finished almost alongside each other in the Challenge Stake and Famous Shamus is a winner on the wet. The speedster Kencella has never been on the wet but does have a nice weight. He will be able to lead and might kick away and be hard to run down. The 1100m at Rosehill is famous for being a leader bias trip. Horses that get in front over this track and trip hardly ever get run down by swoopers. But does the heavy track bring these speedsters back to the field? This race is a deadest mystery. But having said all that, there is a theory…

Verdict:

Winner – 13. Whittington $16. This colt has only ever had one start on a wet track and he went terribly. But that was in the 2013 Golden Slipper and that was a year ago. He has won a trial on the wet track and according to the Gai Waterhouse trackwork reports, which are free to read every day on Gai’s website, this colt is flying. He ran really well against many of these horses last start and now he finds himself right down on the minimum. He might just thrive on the heavy and be impossible to catch. $16 is great value and he looks one of those lightweight chances that will either run a career best or not go a yard in the bog and drop out. $16 allows us to risk very little and maybe get a good payout.

Hardest to beat – 4. Rain Affair $7. This gelding is one of the best wet trackers in Australia, but if he does not run first or second in this, then he will be sacked forever! He will bowl along in front and if the other chances don’t handle the track, he might just bolt in. He might also give up in the straight… you just never know. He is well placed this week and he does have conditions to suit.

Best longshot – It is a three way tossup between 9. Villa Verde $8, 6. Temple of Boom $8.50 and 8. Tiger Tees $14. It has to go to Tiger Tees. This boy is very fast and he is proven on the wet track. He has no weight and deserves a small each way go.

Race 7. The George Ryder

Last year this race was clear cut. Pierro was $1.35, he was the best horse in the land and the clear best horse in the race. He won by an inch. This year with the wet track, the race might almost be as clear cut. It is absolute poison declaring certain horses that can’t win (due to the track) but this race does seem to contain a few that look as if they will find it hard. But there are also several that can win. The winning chances look to end with Boban, Gordon Lord Byron, Sacred Falls, Speediness, Red Tracer and Eurozone. Boban has never been on a heavy track and is unplaced on a slow track. But he is too good to leave out. The Irish invader Gordon Lord Byron is a great horse. He has won several really nice races in his career and the wet track looks as if it will suit. This boy is owned and trained by a couple of hard doing good blokes form the farm; if he was trained by Aidan O’Brien he would almost be favourite in this race. $21 is clearly overs.  Sacred Falls beat Pierro last year on a wet track in the Doncaster; he is unbeaten on slow and heavy and really put the writing on the wall last start. Speediness has a nice record on a slow track but he has never been on a heavy track. His trainer has been in the press this week saying the horse likes the wet so that is a little leg up also. Speediness never runs a bad race. Then there is Red Tracer. This mare has had 10 starts on slow or heavy ground for 8 wins and a 2nd. She was a certainty beaten last start and if the track firms up she can still run well. She just seems to run exactly the same pace on heavy tracks and good tracks. She is clearly the one to beat in this race. Eurozone is unbeaten on a slow track but has never been on a heavy track. He too rarely runs a bad race and looks a nice each way chance in this race.

Verdict:

Winner – 12. Red Tracer $3. This mare looks almost a certainly. But there is some talk she might not run? If she doesn’t then Sacred Fall is the tip, but if she does she will be very hard to beat. She is the best wet track mare in Australia and it looks like being a very heavy track in Sydney on Saturday.

Hardest to beat – 4. Sacred Falls $7.50. You don’t beat Pierro on a heavy track if you are not a gun. This boy did it last year and did it easily. He loves the wet, the 1500m is right up his alley and he looks close to an each way certainly. $7.50 is pretty short considering he was $41 last start; but he did run in well in that last start and with natural improvement he will be right there when the whips are cracking in this race.

Best longshot – 6. Speediness $21. Yes it is a little bit of blind loyalty that leads this gelding to be tipped as the best longshot. He rarely wins and he still looks a Doncaster horse but he will run well.

Race 8. The Rosehill Guineas

A lot of the greatest horses to ever run in Australia have won this race including Tulloch, Kingston Town and Phar Lap. Last year there was an out and out superstar in the race named It’s A Dundeel. He won untouched by 7 lengths. This year there is no stand out, although there is a New Zealand Derby winner and a Cox Plate winner in the race. There are just three runners in the race that have ever seen a wet track and that is a bit of a worry; the three with heavy track experience are Tupac Amaru, Atlante and Teronado. The other 14 runners have never seen a wet track. So where to look? We have to start with the established superstars, the Cox Plate winner Shamus Award and the New Zealand Derby winner Puccini. Can either of these horses handle a wet track? Who knows but they certainly have a class edge.

Dissident is a grinder and he looks as if he will handle the track; he is a regular winner of late and will most likely be out in front bowling along. Criterion, Savvy Nature and Thunder Fantasy all ran well last spring and all are coming through the VRC Derby. These three horses all are looking for the 2000m , but again the rain is the worry. Atlante ran well on a slow track in the Hobartville and it appears as if the 2000m will suit. The only other horse really in the market is Teronado which is a big tip around town at the minute. There is also Order of the Sun who was not too bad behind Boban and It’s A Dundeel in the Chipping Norton Stakes.  So where to look?

Verdict:

Winner – 4. Puccini $4.60. This colt, along with Shamus Award has the biggest chance of becoming a champion and this race is generally won by champions (there are of course exception). He produced run of the year to win the NZ Derby which gave him three wins in a row all at Group level. Kiwi horses tend to like the wet track when they come to Australia and despite Puccini coming back in distance, he looks a potential superstar and can be trusted in this very complicated race.

Hardest to beat – 1. Shamus Award $7. Danny O’Brien would not be running a 20 million dollar colt over 2000m on a bog track if he did not think it could win. Shamus Award was swamped by Fiorente in the Australian Cup, but now he is back to his own age and he is a winner over 2000m before. Go with the class on the mud if there are no logical swimmers in the field.

Best longshot – 13. Tupac Amaru $26. This horse is pretty slow but he can go in the mud. If the track is genuinely heavy and the rest of the field struggle, he will be the one coming home. 11. Order of the Sun has been set for the Derby for a long time and is probably also worth a small each way bet.

Moonee Valley

5.5. May’s Dream $3.70. Best horse in the race by far and should be fit enough now to run really well.

6.4. Moudre $21. This boy might be getting a bit old, but his last two first up runs have resulted in great run at a huge price. Well worth a small each way bet.

Doomben

5.1. Renewed Vitality $6. Big weight this week but should be leading for a long time.

7.2. Excellantes $5.50. Hall of Fame horse that I would back in the Galaxy this week. Looks a great chance.

Morphettville

2.1. Rawnaq $2.50. Too good for these jumpers. If he runs surely he wins. The best of the day.

5.4. White Roe $4.80. A nice horse that is pretty honest and looks overs in this race.

7.5. Miracles of Life $4.40. This Group One winner is not good enough for the best races but she is unbeaten in Adelaide. She will fly here and might have enough weight relief to be very hard to catch.

8.3. Saint or Sinner $2.50. An up and coming superstar that is the second best of the day.

Good luck and stay tuned.

 

 

2 Comments

Filed under Wisdom

2 responses to “Silly love songs

  1. Don’t wish to cause a family rift,but, you are deluded! George was without doubt the most talented of the fab four

    • Paul was the most talented by a long way. George probably had the best solo career or perhaps a tie with John. Pure musically ability, Paul is almost unmatched in popular music history. But George wrote better songs. All my opinion of course

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