People like me – people of a certain age who follow politics closely still have vivid memories of the 2000 election — horror memories, and not just because the man who lost the popular vote somehow ended up in office, but also because George W. Bush fulfilled plus more all of our dooms day predictions. Trump would be at least 15 times worse.
You see, George W. Bush, was dishonest in a way that was unprecedented in U.S. politics. Most notably, he proposed big tax cuts for the rich while insisting, in raw denial of arithmetic, that they were targeted for the middle class. These campaign lies gave a great indication of what would happen during his administration — an administration that, let us not forget, took the world into an unwinnable war on false pretences before creating the new Great Depression.
Yet throughout the campaign most media coverage gave the impression that Mr. Bush was a bluff, straightforward idiot, while portraying Al Gore — whose policy proposals added up, and whose criticism of the Bush plan were completely accurate — as slippery and dishonest. Mr. Gore’s mendacity was supposedly demonstrated by trivial anecdotes, none significant, some of them simply false. Gore unfortunately said somewhere back in time that he ‘invented the internet’ which is not true, and despite this being a trivial issue, Bush would not let it go and his supporters followed. Sound familiar? One candidate can be a gun promoting, war hungry, Russian loving, racist / sexist and get away with it, while Hillary has never been proved of any wrong doing but is somehow untrusted? “You didn’t delete some emails!” Who cares!
Right now like many others, I have the sick, sinking feeling that Bush 15.0 is hovering over our heads! It’s happening again but strangely George Bush senior and junior refused to attend the Republican Convention (they are the only two living Republican Presidents), nor will they endorse Trump. They may not be as stupid as they would have us believe?
A golf club house in Victoria is a long way from Washington D.C, however the chat in these parts is all about how each candidate is as bad as each other. When I hear this sort of stuff I bite my tongue because you can’t change people’s minds, but it does demonstrate the non-understanding of the candidates in this election.
True, there aren’t many efforts to pretend that Donald Trump is a model of honesty. But it’s hard to escape the impression that he’s being graded on a curve. If he manages to read from a TelePrompter without going off script, he’s being presidential! Any idiot in the world can read politically scripted words on a television screen. If Trump seems to suggest that he wouldn’t round up all 11 million undocumented immigrants right away, he’s moving into the mainstream. And many of his multiple scandals, like what appear to be clear payoffs to state attorneys general to back off investigating Trump University, get remarkably little attention.
Meanwhile… we have the presumption that anything Hillary Clinton does must be corrupt, most spectacularly illustrated by the increasingly bizarre coverage of the Clinton Foundation? What the fuck is this about?
Step back for a moment, and think about what that foundation is about. When big President Bill Clinton left office, he was a popular, globally respected figure. America was devastated when he left and was replaced with Bush. What should he have done with that reputation? Raising billions of dollars for a charity that saves the lives of poor children sounds like a pretty reasonable course of action. And the Clinton Foundation is, by all accounts, a big force for good in the world. For example, Charity Watch, an independent watchdog, gives it an “A” rating — better than the American Red Cross.
Now, any operation that raises and spends billions of dollars creates the potential for conflicts of interest. You could imagine the Clintons using the foundation as a slush fund to reward their friends, or, alternatively, Hillary Clinton using her positions in public office to reward donors. So it was right and appropriate to investigate the foundation’s operations to see if there were any improper quid pro quos. As deadbeats in the media and at the pub like to say, the sheer size of the foundation “raises questions.”
But nobody seems willing to accept the answers to those questions, which are, very clearly, “no.”
So I would urge Americans 1. To bury their guns and 2. To ask whether they are reading and discussing facts or simply engaging in innuendo. If reports about a candidate metnion how something “raises questions,” creates “shadows,” or anything similar, be aware that these are all too often mis-leading words used to create the impression of wrongdoing out of thin air.
And here’s a pro tip – a tip from a 34 year old Australia! The best ways to judge a candidate’s character are to look at what he or she has actually done, and what policies he or she is proposing. Mr. Trump’s record of shafting students, stiffing contractors and more is a good indicator of how he would act as president; Mrs. Clinton’s clothing style, donations to charity and body language are not!
In other words, focus on the facts. America and the world can’t afford another election tipped by innuendo.
There are Group 1 races in both Sydney and Melbourne this week, so lets have a crack at all races on both cards.
Not real sure here. I am going to back 7. Longkissgoodnight a win and leave it at that.
3. Dubaiinstyle looks a special. He is on the back-up and has the best jockey in the world aboard.
The top weight 1. Sir Bacchus is a mate of mine, and he will probably win, but his big weight and $2.50 price tag don’t add up. Back him if you like him be all-means, but if looking for another one have a look at 3. Caped Crusader. Also 10. Quantrill is half a chance at 20-1.
5. Moss My Nme and 12. Fuel both at $10 look good chances.
The main bet on 2. Sir John Hawkwood but I am also including 7. Get On The Grange at 30-1 and 12. Rules Girl at 200-1!
This is a Group 1 race that no filly has ever won, so I am scrapping all them! 2. El Divino is looking for a mile but can win at 15-1. 4. Divine Prophet is the major bet a win, nd don’t leave out 6. Thronum at 50-1 on the each way.
Old Mate 1. Rebel Dane has a chance but the major bet is 5. Counterattack. He is a special!
Not full of confidence here. 1 Pearls rarely runs a bad race and 9. Fine Mist is a grey.
13. No Bad Blood is 40-1 but has half a chance. 1. Fabrizio is a tough gelding that ticks all the boxes. Back both with small bets.
7. O’Lonera. Horrible race so just back this one. Will be leading at some stage.
1. Missrock beat a horse named Prompt Response 1st up last time. Prompt Response is a star in the making. Also have a look at 2. Flying Jess at 50-1. Worth the old $1 each way.
12. Zunbaqa is the major bet. The dangers are 9. Urban Ruler and 6. Detective.
3. Tashbeeh is a special. 4. Riziz is the value runner at 20-1.
4. Archivesis the value, but 1. Defcon will be the hardest to beat. Maybe back both?
2. Xtravagant. I believe the hype. This horse might just be a champion. 4. Sir Moments is good value at 30-1.
Black Heart Bart can get stuffed! I am sik of him, but he will probably win. 5. Jacquinot Bay is going well and worth a bet at 30-1. 8. AlpineEagle will win one day so back him also.
The top two weights are the way to go. 1. Badawyia and 2. Don’t Doubt Mamma. Both are $7 or so.
11. Gabella is a special. She ia a gun and a grey to boot! Also consider 4. Big Memory. He always races well this time of year.
Good lcuk and stay tuned.